Private rental prices have continued to soar in Scotland according to DJ Alexander, the largest lettings agency in the country. 

It says rental prices increased 5.7 per cent year on year to July 2023 – the highest figure since at least January 2012 and up from 3.9 per cent a year ago.

It was in September 2022 that the controversial Cost of Loving (Tenant Protection) Bill became law. This capped mid-tenancy rental price increases to 0 per cent (and up to 3.0 per cent in certain circumstances) until March 2023, and was extended on to allow the rental price increase cap to increase to 3.0 per cent and up to 6.0 in certain circumstances.

While private rental prices have increased by a lower amount in Scotland than in England and Wales since 2015, the rate of increase has been growing rapidly over the last year – despite the caps.

For example, from January 2015 to September 2022 rents in Scotland increased by 8.7 per cent. The accumulated rate to July 2023 is now 14.1 per cent so has risen substantially in the last ten months compared to the previous eight years.

David Alexander, chief executive of DJ Alexander, comments: “We can see that rents in Scotland have continued to rise at a very fast rate since the legislative changes introduced last September. 

“These increases have been as a response to the legislation but also a reaction to unprecedented demand coupled with increasingly limited supply. The result has been rapid rent increases and a lot of tenant frustration at being unable to find accommodation.

“In July alone we received nearly 40,000 enquiries for viewings for our rental properties with nearly 30,000 of these in Edinburgh alone. This is a clear indication that supply is not remotely approaching demand which results in these rent increases.

“It is, therefore, concerning for landlords and tenants that the First Minister announced his intention to extend rent control rules in forthcoming legislation. The concern is that any prolonged extension of this legislation will only exacerbate the current property shortages resulting in many more tenants being unable to find homes.

“Given that existing evidence of the implementation of rent controls in Germany, Ireland, Sweden, and San Francisco resulted in higher rents in the long term, enormous shortages (there is an 11 year waiting list for the PRS in Stockholm and a major problem with illegal subletting) it seems strange to pursue a policy theoretically aimed at helping tenants but which, when applied in the real world, ends up costing them more and limiting their ability to find a home.

“I think that everyone involved in the property sector from developers and landlords, investors, tenants, and social housing providers should be consulted widely about what it is that they want and how it can expect to realistically be achieved. 

“The imposition of policy without consultation, without appropriate analysis of prior implementation of similar policies which have already been shown to have failed, will simply lead the sector into a blind alley which it will then have to extricate itself from. All the while it is the tenants who suffer during these periods of experimentation with the housing market. 

“What is required is more social housing, more properties in the private rented sector and an approach which welcomes investment, which is open to discussion about how to resolve our housing issues, and which wants to make Scotland an attractive, thriving place for people to live and companies to invest.”

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